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Bloodhound Blog Radio Hosts Matt Padilla, author of Chain of Blame

From Bloodhound Blog:

We interviewed Matt Padilla, author of Chain of Blame- How Wall Street Caused the Mortgage and Credit Crisis.  This book, released in May, 2008, details a history of non-prime lending, the S&L crisis, securitization of mortgages, and what went wrong.

Download and Listen to the 45 minute interview here

An excerpt from the book, by co-author Paul Muolo:

He had made this argument before subprime lending began to boom in 2003. He believed it down to his toes — that Wall Street (despite his contempt for it) would keep the housing market honest because the Street controlled the mortgage bond business, where most of the money for home lending came. It was in the Street’s best interests. I wasn’t so sure. I became even less sure when the losses (the nice word being write-downs ) at banks and Wall Street firms topped $300 billion in the spring of 2008. To me and my co - author, Mathew Padilla, something had gone awry. A million or so people had lost their homes to foreclosure. Two or three million would follow in their path by the end of the decade. It wasn’t just housing and mortgages that were ailing. It seemed as though the nation was getting hit from all different directions: rising energy and commodities prices, falling home values, banks pulling credit lines of all sorts including commercial and student loans. The mortgage virus had spread, infecting the entire body. It was as though the U.S. economy, which had burned so brightly during the Bush years, was a mirage. Angelo had been wrong. The capital markets — Wall Street — had failed us. This is the story of how it happened.

Matt is also a business and finance columnist at the Orange County Register, in Southern California and hosts Mortgage Insider Blog.

Linda Davis: Smartest REALTOR in CT

MaggieBrady.com proclaims Linda Davis as the "smartest REALTOR in CT"

America's #1 Mortgage Rates Report: September 19, 2008

Hold off on that rate lock.  The government is here to help.

I initially thought this massive government purchase of defaulted mortgage proposal would lead to higher mortgage rates, but quickly reversed course.  Here's me today, on Zillow Mortgage Blog:

This action is an obvious attempt to stabilize the volatile mortgage market.  His rationale is that this plan (a massive MBS purchase) will cost the taxpayers a lot less than the alternative. Whether or not that’s true remains to be seen.  He specifically references the “spread” or yield difference between treasury notes and mortgage-backed securities.  If the US Treasury is going to buy mortgage-backed securities to narrow that spread, rates will drop in the near term.

I think we'll see conforming 30-year fixed rates work down to 5.75% or below, next week.  Stay tuned.

Originally posted on Millionaire Real Estate Lender

Sometimes, You Get To Brag a Bit

Jim Crawford reports that with the financial meltdown, oil prices dropped under $100/barrel:

I once worked on Wall Street.  It way of life for many New Yorkers.  Many in my family worked for Merrill Lynch, and Shearson Hamill, Bear Stearns, Manufacturers Hanover...and today these companies are no longer part of our daily lives as they once were.  Tomorrow is another day.  Issues not addressed today will be on tomorrows news.  The one great thing I read going through the news as that oil closed at $94 a barrel

I got caught being a fuddy-duddy, back in May.  I didn't think it would happen until after Christmas:

At the center of the inflationary pressures is oil (and other commodities).  As worldwide demand for oil decreases, the price will naturally decline.  Foreign central banks are forced to ease their monetary policies, in lock step with The Fed, to compete in the global marketplace.

In the end, the American consumer controls world monetary policy and the price of oil; the American consumer is sick.  Don't despair!  The World is starting to catch on to what's happening.  Expect lower oil prices next year.

I'm bragging and I know it.  Let me have my day- I didn't trade on this idea.

 

BloodhoundBlog Radio: Fannie/Freddie Seized- What Now?

Sean Purcell and I recorded a teleconference for California REALTORS about the Treasury bailout of the GSEs.

We talk about what exactly happened and what the near-term (3-4 month) effects and medium-term (12-18 month) effects on underwriting guidelines and rates.  We also guessed at what the long-term (2-10 years) effect on conforming loans will be, in light of the mandate for the GSEs to reduce their portfolios.

Click here for the Fannie/Freddie Teleconference podcast.