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America's #1 Mortgage Rates Report: August 29, 2008

Weird things are happening in the mortgage-backed securities market.  Strong buying, in the 30 year-fixed rate loans, has dropped rates .25% since my last report,  The ARM rates, however, have RISEN.  A weird phenomenon, indeed.  I'm only quoting two loan programs (the others make no sense): 

Mortgage rates for August 29, 2008.  Loan amounts up to $417,000:

5/1 ARM              5.750%

30 Yr Fixed          6.125%

All rates offered to the borrower with 1 point cost.  Rate quotes assume a purchase transaction with a 20% down payment, 720 credit score, and full income qualification.  Rates are subject to fluctuation.  Custom rate quotes and rate lock advice are available by calling (858)-777-9751.

Short-term, this is about as good as it gets.  I think we'll see some higher rates, in the next 7-10 days, with rates coming back down to this level by the end of September.  I'm befuddled for the 3 month trend so I'll stay neutral.

MORTGAGE RATE TREND:

Next 7 days:      Higher 

Next 30 days:     Neutral

Next 3 months:  Lower? (I'm stumped)

Origianlly posted on MillionaireRealEstateLender.com

CalSTRS: California Teachers Mortgages

California teachers can buy a home, with a down payment requirement as little as 3%, using a little known loan program offered by their State retirement plan.  The California Teachers Home Loan is less expensive than the traditional FHA mortgage option because it avoids mortgage insurance and combines a first and second mortgage.  Rates are competitive and loan amounts go as high as $650,000.

The beauty of this home loan program lies in the second mortgage.  The first mortgage is an 80% loan, made by participating lenders.  The second mortgage is a 17% mortgage, made directly by the State retirement fund, at the same rate as the first mortgage.  Payments on the second mortgage can be deferred up to five years, allowing for newer teachers to "grow into their payment" as their income escalates through tenure.   

Here is a comparison of the California Teachers Loan to traditional FHA financing, for a $400,000 purchase price:

Down payment= $12,000

FHA mortgage payment at 6.375%, with upfront mortgage insurance premium of 1.5%, and monthly mortgage insurance premium of .55%:

Principal and Interest:                  $2,458
Monthly Insurance Premium:              150
Taxes:                                                416
Hazard Insurance:                               75

TOTAL FHA PAYMENT                    $3,099

California Teachers Loan Program payment, at 6.625%, for first and second mortgage:

Principal and Interest (1st):          $2,048
Principal and Interest (2nd):              435
Taxes:                                                416
Hazard Insurance:                                75

TOTAL TEACHERS LOAN PMT:     $2,974

While the interest rate is higher on the California Teachers Loan Program, the avoidance of mortgage insurance affords a monthly mortgage payment that is over $100/month less.  The option of deferring the second mortgage payment can help teachers own a home while "deferring" the second mortgage payment some five years.  There is no such thing as a free lunch, however.  Deferring that second mortgage payment will add some $30,000 to the mortgage balance, by 2013.

Interest deferral should be used only with the belief that California real estate values will be some 10% higher, in 2013, than they are today.  Recent news reports might suggest that possibility exists.

Originally posted on MillionaireRealEstateLender.com

FHA Jumbo ARMs Offer Huge Savings To FHA Jumbo Fixed Rate Loans

Did you know you could get an adjustable rate mortgage through the FHA-insured loan program?  ARMs are a dirty word in the media today.  As millions of homeowners have their ARM rates adjusted, the press peddles fear, causing new home buyers to overpay on the FHA home loans.

Let's look at my favorite, the FHA JUMBO 5-year ARM at 5.625% versus the FHA JUMBO 30 Year fixed rate mortgage at 6.375%.  That's a .75% difference in rate and for a JUMBO loan, that adds up to some substantial savings!  On a $600,000 mortgage, the interest savings, over the five year period, is over $20,000; that's the price of a low mileage, gently-used BMW.

The risk of a five year ARM is the reset.  If you funded a FHA JUMBO 5-year ARM today, the rate (and payment) would adjust in January, 2014.  The risk, however, is nowhere near the reset risk of yesterday's Alt-A and sub-prime home loans.  Rate adjustments are based on two factors:  index and margin.  FHA loans can be offered with a LIBOR or Treasury Index and have margins that range from 2.25% to 2.75%.  Peter G. Miller, syndicated columnist, believes the lowest margin may be the best choice:

While indexes move up and down, you at least want to compare the LIBOR and Treasury measures. If the LIBOR margin is within .25 to .50 of the Treasury index, then either index might be attractive. But if the margin gap is more than .25 to .50, then you might favor the Treasury index, if the margin is less than .25 to .50 then the LIBOR might be a better choice.

The view here is that a lower margin is best because the margin is fixed for the life of the loan. That said, who knows how indexes will move in the future?

The other risk for a rate adjustment is the "cap".  Simply put, a "rate cap" is the maximum allowable adjustment, up or down, for the rate (and payment) when the five year period is up.  FHA loans have two interest rate cap structures:  a 1/5 for 3-year ARM periods or a 2/6 for longer periods.

In our example, if we obtained a 5/1 FHA JUMBO ARM at 5.625%, the rate could adjust as high as 7.625%, in 2014.  It could adjust as high as 11.625%, if interest rates went straight up for eight years (and never came down).  If that were to happen, bank savings' rates would skyrocket from today's 3% to over 9%.  There IS a silver lining amidst any storm cloud.

FHA loans are easy to refinance.  The FHA streamlined refinance program allows for a homeowner to refinance her FHA loan with no income or asset documentation.  This common-sense approach grants a FHA loan approval if the homeowner can demonstrate that her last twelve mortgage payments were timely.  It can even be offered without an appraisal.

In California, the average hold time for a home is 5-7 years.  This means that the average Californian will most likely sell his home during that period.  If you're a first-time homebuyer, chances are that you're leaving a LOT of money on the table by insisting on a FHA JUMBO 30 year loan rather than a 5-year ARM.  Do your homework and compare costs.

Originally posted on MillionaireRealEstateLender.com

FHA Jumbo ARMs Offer Huge Savings To FHA Jumbo Fixed Rate Loans

Did you know you could get an adjustable rate mortgage through the FHA-insured loan program?  ARMs are a dirty word in the media today.  As millions of homeowners have their ARM rates adjusted, the press peddles fear, causing new home buyers to overpay on the FHA home loans.

Let's look at my favorite, the FHA JUMBO 5-year ARM at 5.625% versus the FHA JUMBO 30 Year fixed rate mortgage at 6.375%.  That's a .75% difference in rate and for a JUMBO loan, that adds up to some substantial savings!  On a $600,000 mortgage, the interest savings, over the five year period, is over $20,000; that's the price of a low mileage, gently-used BMW.

The risk of a five year ARM is the reset.  If you funded a FHA JUMBO 5-year ARM today, the rate (and payment) would adjust in January, 2014.  The risk, however, is nowhere near the reset risk of yesterday's Alt-A and sub-prime home loans.  Rate adjustments are based on two factors:  index and margin.  FHA loans can be offered with a LIBOR or Treasury Index and have margins that range from 2.25% to 2.75%.  Peter G. Miller, syndicated columnist, believes the lowest margin may be the best choice:

While indexes move up and down, you at least want to compare the LIBOR and Treasury measures. If the LIBOR margin is within .25 to .50 of the Treasury index, then either index might be attractive. But if the margin gap is more than .25 to .50, then you might favor the Treasury index, if the margin is less than .25 to .50 then the LIBOR might be a better choice.

The view here is that a lower margin is best because the margin is fixed for the life of the loan. That said, who knows how indexes will move in the future?

The other risk for a rate adjustment is the "cap".  Simply put, a "rate cap" is the maximum allowable adjustment, up or down, for the rate (and payment) when the five year period is up.  FHA loans have two interest rate cap structures:  a 1/5 for 3-year ARM periods or a 2/6 for longer periods.

In our example, if we obtained a 5/1 FHA JUMBO ARM at 5.625%, the rate could adjust as high as 7.625%, in 2014.  It could adjust as high as 11.625%, if interest rates went straight up for eight years (and never came down).  If that were to happen, bank savings' rates would skyrocket from today's 3% to over 9%.  There IS a silver lining amidst any storm cloud.

FHA loans are easy to refinance.  The FHA streamlined refinance program allows for a homeowner to refinance her FHA loan with no income or asset documentation.  This common-sense approach grants a FHA loan approval if the homeowner can demonstrate that her last twelve mortgage payments were timely.  It can even be offered without an appraisal.

In California, the average hold time for a home is 5-7 years.  This means that the average Californian will most likely sell his home during that period.  If you're a first-time homebuyer, chances are that you're leaving a LOT of money on the table by insisting on a FHA JUMBO 30 year loan rather than a 5-year ARM.  Do your homework and compare costs.

Originally posted on MillionaireRealEstateLender.com

America's #1 Mortgage Rates Report: August 15, 2008

Mortgage rates were stable this week.  ARM rates went up and the fixed rate mortgage rates are the same as they were Monday.  I mentioned that traders felt "stuck in the middle" of conflicting data.  Core inflation is rising but oil prices are falling like a rock off a cliff.  I'm as confused as the mortgage bond traders so I'm taking this opportunity to lock rates for loans closing within 30 days.

READ: Why Oil Prices Will Drop BELOW $100/ Barrel in 2009

Why?  I think the rising ARM rates suggest that traders believe, in their hearts, that the Fed will tighten before Thanksgiving.  I'm more about mitigating risk rather than pouncing on opportunity so when I'm confused, I lock mortgage rates.  Maybe the descent in oil prices will continue and mortgage rates decline further but "I ain't seeing it" from my ivory tower.

Mortgage rates  for August 15, 2008.  Loan amounts up to $417,000:

3/1 ARM              5.750%

5/1 ARM              5.750%

7/1 ARM              6.000%

10/1 ARM            6.250%

30 Yr Fixed          6.375%

All rates offered to the borrower with 1 point cost.  Rate quotes assume a purchase transaction with a 20% down payment, 720 credit score, and full income qualification.  Rates are subject to fluctuation.  Custom rate quotes and rate lock advice are available by calling (858)-777-9751.

MORTGAGE RATE TREND:

Next 7 days:      Neutral 

Next 30 days:     Neutral

Next 3 months:   Neutral

Look Who's Talking- It's Jessica Horton !

jessica hortonHere's Greg Swann, introducing new BHB contributor, Jessica Horton:

What do you do when you’re selling a thick slice of a billion dollars’ worth of real estate every year, when you’ve built your own RE/Max franchise from scratch, when you’ve hit the “30 Under 30″ target at Realtor magazine?

Start over in another town, of course, and do it all again.

Today we add once and future mega-producer Jessica Wynn Horton to our roster of contributors. Jessica is designated broker for Brio Realty in Bellevue, WA, a Microsoft suburb of Seattle.

In addition to her duties as broker, Jessica is hoping to replicate her earlier successes, this time with a decidedly Web 2.0 approach.

We’ll teach her what we can, but I think we’ll reap a good deal more from her experiences.

If I'm gushing it's because I "met" Jessica in my MLS on MySpace Group, about 3 years ago.  I was attracted to her spunky attitude and bowled over with her early success as a REALTOR.  More astounding to me was her ability to do all that she'd done with little kids at home.

She was bagging on Zillow a bit when I introduced her to Active Rain.  She migrated her stuff from her MySpace profile here and became an instant hit!  Jessica caught the eyes of the top dogs at Brio Realty and they enticed her to move cross country to become the Designated Broker there.

 

Please join me in welcoming her to Bloodhound Blog; I can't wait to meet her in Orlando, this November.

ActiveRainers Ribak and Brady to Speak Tuesday, August 12, 2008 on HomeGain "Ask the Experts"

Mitch Ribak spoke to the Barrys on Real Estate Radio USA last Friday.  Mitch started as an agent in 2001, opened Tropical Realty in 2005, and has grown his business to close 180 transactions, during the first six months of 2008,  in a down real estate market.

Mitch looks for newer real estate agents, who are personable, with a strong work ethic for his team.  He plugs them into his 100mphmarketing software after driving prospective buyers to his website from various pay-per-click campaigns. 100% of his buyer leads come from the internet (his referrals come from original internet leads).

Mitch will be opening membership in the E-Homes Realty Network later this week. What is the eHomes Realty Network?

Very simply, it’s a membership that gives independent Real Estate Brokerages the ability to have the same tools and training that the Big Franchises have for one very low monthly membership fee.  It’s your Franchise without a Franchise!

We started eHomes Realty Network after realizing that most Independent Brokers don’t have the resources, the knowledge or the time to test and determine which products will work best for their companies. It has also become clear that most Independents don’t have any formal training programs for their Agents.

If this sounds like an “Unchained” idea, it is. Mitch is offering the national exposure, training, and masterminding, to independent agents (and brokers) for forty bucks a month.  He has plans for an updated e-designation for network members.  This is what Sean Purcell calls “disbrokeration” at its finest.

Tomorrow (Tuesday), Mitch and I will be hosted by Home Gain on their first “Ask the Experts” segment at 10:00 AM (PDT).  There will be over 250 real estate professionals attending the webinar.  There is no charge for the webinar and you can register here.  I’ll be talking about mortgage financing but Mitch will talk about how to drive traffic to your website.

PS:  If you’re wondering why Mitch calls his software 100mphmarketing, you gotta hear him talkListening to Mitch talk about internet marketing is like trying to take a sip from a fire hydrant; he gives THAT much good information.  Bring a pen and paper.

PPS:  Mitch will be speaking at Unchained Orlando on November 7. Reserve your spot before the price doubles.

 

THIS ARTICLE ORIGINALLY POSTED AS Unchained Speakers, Ribak and Brady, on HomeGain “Ask The Experts”

ON BLOODHOUNDBLOG

America's #1 Mortgage Rates Report: August 11, 2008

America's #1 Mortgage Rates for August 1, 2008.  Loan amounts up to $417,000:

3/1 ARM              5.500%

5/1 ARM              5.750%

7/1 ARM              5.875%

10/1 ARM            6.250%

30 Yr Fixed          6.375%

All rates offered to the borrower with 1 point cost.  Rate quotes assume a purchase transaction with a 20% down payment, 720 credit score, and full income qualification.  Rates are subject to fluctuation.  Custom rate quotes and rate lock advice are available by calling (858)-777-9751.

MORTGAGE RATE TREND:

Next 7 days:      Slightly Higher

Next 30 days:     Neutral

Next 3 months:   Neutral 

Remember the song "Stuck in the Middle With You" by Stealer's Wheel?  It was background music for a particularly gruesome scene in the Quentin Tarantino movie, Reservoir Dogs

Well, I don't know why I came here tonight
I got a feelin' that something ain't right
I'm so scared in case I fall off my chair
And I'm wonderin' how I'll get down those stairs
Clowns to left of me, jokers to the right
Here am I stuck in the middle with you

Wall Street bond traders are singing that tune and it's bouncing mortgage rates all over the place.  They're scared because they feel that "somethin' ain't right" with the underlying loans held by Fannie and Freddie.  Still, the US Treasury Secretary has pretty much guaranteed that the government will back Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should the dung hit the blades.

While the treasury securities market has been somewhat stable these past few weeks, mortgage-backed securities are bouncing all over.  Some days ,they act like treasuries and the spread narrows.  Other days, they act like junk bonds and the spread widens.  If you listened to my "dog on a leash" analogy, imagine a rabid animal running away from a scared owner one day and a docile pet running and cuddling with him the next.

Like the song, says, we're "stuck in the middle" which means, in my mind, we'll see mortgage rates rise a bit, to the 6.5% level, then drop to the 6.0% level.  We still haven't seen the full effect of the Russian invasion to Georgia.  The American response will be much more than a Bush and Putin exchange at the Olympics. Georgia is a SERIOUS U.S. ally with a major oil pipeline running through it.  The Russian attack was clearly unprovoked and part of a concerted effort to weaken the US dispute with Iran.

We're locking loans that are closing within 10 days with an eye towards locking late August closings some time next week (when mortgage rates come back down). 

Originally posted at Mortgage Rates Report on August 11, 2008

How Ben Bernanke Acted Like the Qantas Pilot (and saved a bunch of lives)

I’ve learned to trust Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke’s judgement.  An astute student of Milton Friedman’s study of The Fed’s role in the Great Depression, Bernanke has taken considerable action to preserve a healthy banking system.  Free market enthusiasts would argue that his intervention is artificially  postponing the eventual asset deflation reflective of a dour economy.  I’d argue that his actions were necessary to promote confidence.

Confidence.

Sean Purcell and I discussed the press’ obsession with doom and gloom yesterday.  Last month a Qantas 747 lost a portion of its fuselage, had to quickly descend below the 10,000 “hard deck”, and make an emergency landing.  The 2.0 world gives us citizen journalism in the form of this passenger video.  Watch it and you’ll see a professional air crew inspiring confidence in faithful passengers.

The Australian News realized that “professional” and “rational” won’t sell fishwraps and elected to lead with “Terror As Huge Hole Cripples Qantas Plane“:

A QANTAS jet plunged 20,000 feet and was forced to make an emergency landing after a giant hole was ripped in the plane’s undercarriage, passengers say.

The Qantas Boeing 747, en route from London to Melbourne, via Hong Kong, landed safely today and a “gigantic” hole was discovered in the belly of the plane, near the wing.

Some of the 346 passengers on board told of debris flying through the depressurised cabin, and oxygen masks dropping from the ceiling. Some said the plane had plunged about 20,000 feet after a door “popped”.

“There was a terrific boom and bits of wood and debris just flew forward into first (class) and the oxygen masks dropped down,” Melbourne woman Dr June Kane told ABC Radio.

An option to “lead with the bleeder” rather than the heroism of the air crew.  I’m not minimizing the traumatic effect of a plane floor falling out.  While the “pucker” factor had to be huge on that jet, the pilot intervened and took action to avoid a disaster.   Coordinated efforts by the Qantas air crew inspired faith in the passengers.


America's #1 Mortgage Rates Report: August 1, 2008

Mortgage rates for August 1, 2008.  Loan amounts up to $417,000:

3/1 ARM              5.500%

5/1 ARM              5.625%

7/1 ARM              6.125%

10/1 ARM            6.250%

30 Yr Fixed          6.250%

All rates offered to the borrower with 1 point cost.  Rate quotes assume a purchase transaction with a 20% down payment, 720 credit score, and full income qualification.  Rates are subject to fluctuation.  Custom rate quotes and rate lock advice are available by calling (858)-777-9751.

MORTGAGE RATE TREND:

Next 7 days:       Slightly Lower

Next 30 days:     Slightly Lower

Next 3 months:   Neutral

This mortgage rates report is offered courtesy of Brian Brady.  Contact Brian for more information about a home loan or apply online.